Thomas Johnston
POSC 335 Term Paper
Fall 2017
Professor Grose
Introduction For my novel experiment relating to campaigns and elections, I have decided to conduct an experiment to test the effects of spanish-spoken political campaign advertisements on self-identified Hispanic and Latino citizens. Research has shown that Hispanic participation in elections lаgs behind that of non-Hispаnic groups in the United States. According to the U.S. Census Bureau, In 2008, 54 percent of Hispаnic citizens registered to vote in the 2006 midterm elections, compаred to 71 percent of non Hispаnic whites. Although raciаlly polarized politics (such as an election like Trump vs Clinton in 2016) or elections with competitive Lаtino cаndidates on the ballot
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This outreach may serve an important symbolic function, showing potential Hispanic voters that politicians acknowledge their growing prominence in the U.S. electorate. (Abrajano 2010). Guernica (1982) contends that “U.S. Hispanics are most receptive to media content in the Spanish language. Spanish programming elicits an emotional response from the Hispanic audience that is missing in English-language media.” In my experiment, I will test that claim.
Relevant work in Political Science There are a couple of past works in Political Science that are relevant to my experiment. About a decade ago, Costas Panagopoulos and Donald P. Green conducted a large-scale, national field experiment to test the impact of Spanish-language radio advertisements on Latino voter turnout in the 2006 congressional elections. They randomly assigned congressional districts to receive radio ads in Spanish and measured the likelihood of Hispanic voters in those districts to vote in congressional elections. In congressional districts where the ads were played, Hispanics were 4.2% more likely to vote than in randomly selected districts where the ads were not played. They concluded that “Spanish-language radio advertisements can have a profound effect on Latino voter turnout.”
Immigration from Latin America and the growth of the nation 's Latino population are two of the most important and controversial developments in the recent history of the United States. Latinos are destined to continue to have an enormous impact
In 2008, African-American presidential nominee Barack Obama garnered 67% of the Latino vote. In his bid for re-election, President Barack Obama acquired 71% of the Latino vote (Pew Research Center). With these statistics in mind, one can conclude that there has been a consistent growing pattern of continued co-operation between blacks and Latinos at the national level. This is in complete contrast however, to the mindset of some observers who believed that Latinos would not come out in the numbers they did because of racial bias and because of the fact that Obama received much less support amongst Latinos in the democratic primaries when faced against Hilary Clinton (Hero & Preuhs, p.3). Many people mistakenly thought this to be so because
61% of the eligible electorate voted in the 1968 presidential election (Nicholas, 1969), while only 58.6% voted in the 2012 presidential election (Kernell et al., 2016, p. 450). Although national voting rates in 2008 and 2012 were lower than historical rates, voting rates among minorities were at an all time high. This suggests that there is an inverse relationship between national voting rates and minority voting rates, at least in the context of the 1968, 2008, and 2012 elections: if one rate rose, the other fell. Further research on why this occurs would be beneficial for future presidential elections. Voting rates among immigrants are still very low compared to native born voting rates, so efforts to encourage political participation among immigrants should be increased. Efforts to increase the national voting rate (including all races and ethnicities) should also be
The Latino and Hispanic population continues to increase at a lower rate every year in the U.S., they account for a large portion of the population. However, it hasn’t change the portrayal of Latinos in the media. Often, the Latino community is shown in a negative light that doesn’t represent the reality of this community. The main goal of this paper is to show and understand how the media portray Latinos and ways to solve the problem.
When looking at political campaigns in recent years there has been increasing evidence in the parties’ campaigns for the support of this racial group as they are being targeted in the campaigns in a strategic manner, by campaigning in Spanish or supporting citizenship, or heavy focus on Hispanic candidates from the parties for examples the Republican focus was on candidates such as Marco Rubio and Ted Cruz.
In accordance with the New York Times article ‘’27 Million Potential Hispanic Votes. But What Will They Really Add Up To?’’ writed by Marcela Valdes, the hispanic vote is determined for a such of circumstances, which explained through different testimonies in different contexts; starting with a background about one of the most important political issues in America today.
That newspaper discovered in a poll that new citizens of Latin America ancestry favored the Democratic Party by a margin or more than eight in ten. (Reimers 106)
The last 30 years has brought the change of major political parties acknowledging the Hispanic population as a strong force in the election process. The race between Senator Obama and Senator McCain launched the first smear campaign ever shown on Spanish television ads. The irony is
The presentation topic was to examine the impact of politics on Latino in United States by studying various factors such as- population, citizenship status, geographic location and age.
Since the majority of Latinos are not legal citizens; therefore, they cannot vote in an election (Ginsbert et al, 2013). For the Latinos that can vote are more likely to vote Democratic. Voters for the Democratic are seen as urban countries, with large minority population, older and native Texans (Ginsbert et al, 2013). Teachers, business men and women, and citizens with higher educations are more likely to vote depending on who is running and their platforms. Hispanics and African-American are seen voting more for the Democratic candidates and whites voting for the Republican candidates (Ginsbert et al, 2013). Women are move likely to vote Democratic than men (Ginsbert et al,
This research examines the disjuncture between Hispanic strength in population and Hispanic participation in politics. I examine the nature of this disjuncture: its severity, its causes, and its consequences. Hispanics currently comprise 11.2% of the U.S. population, but the Hispanic vote in the 1998 elections comprised only 4.7% of all ballots cast. The situation is even bleaker when considering Hispanic representation in Congress. Currently, less than four percent of U.S. House members are Latino. Add to that clear disjuncture the fact that two of the Hispanic Congressmen do not even possess the ability to vote and that there is not a single Hispanic Senator, and we see that
According to the Pew Research Center, a record number of Hispanics were eligible to vote in 2014. The number of eligible Hispanic voters in the 1986 midterm elections was 7.5 million, whereas in 2014 midterm elections, the number was 25.2 million, an increase in 236%. Even though Hispanic voter turnout has been increasing in the last few elections, it is still very low compared to the national average and all the major minority groups. In the 2014 Midterm Election, Hispanics made 8% of the nation’s voters, a number that equaled to the elections of 2010 and 2012. Even though by 2012 eligible Latino voters reached a record number of 11% of the total voters, Latino vote did not surge, in fact it was the same or even less than prior elections. Just like the midterm elections, Hispanics also have a low turnout rate in presidential elections. In the 2008 Presidential Election, 9.7 million Hispanics voted out of the 19.5 million who were eligible to vote. Making the Hispanic voter turnout rate to be around 49.7%. In the 2012 Presidential Election, 11.2 million Hispanics voted out of the
The article “The 2004 Campaign: The Hispanic Vote” tells me that the American Political System discriminates against Hispanics but i the end relies on their vote, because they have a lot of potential power in determining their states’ electoral college. The role that the minorities play in the election is what way their state of New Mexico will lean in the election because they make up about 42% of the population, although they could “set the stage for battle” in many states such as, Arizona, Nevada and Florida.
Hispanics: 55.0 / 77.7 = 0.70785 = 70.8 %. The pass rate of the Hispanics groups shows that there is evidence of adverse impact.
Many political science researchers study the forces that drive the vote. One of the earliest, and most well known, books about election studies is The American Voter. Written in 1960, the book tries to explain a model that describes what drives Americans to vote the way they do. The model suggests that social factors determine ones party identification, which determines one's issue positions and evaluation of candidate's characteristics. These forces all work together to determine how one will vote. This model may or may not still hold true today, as political researchers are not in agreement as to what exactly drives the vote. One thing that does remain true, however, is that factors such as social groups, party identification, issues,